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☆ 5 indicators that show the US economy is still firing on all cylinders despite slowing GDP
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The US economy is still firing on all cylinders despite slowing GDP growth in the first quarter. "The workhorse of the US economy remains the consumer, and there's really not much sign of a slowdown," Varghese said. AdvertisementThe US economy is firing on all cylinders despite a slowdown in first-quarter GDP growth, according to Carson Group global macro strategist Sonu Varghese. These are the five indicators that give Varghese confidence that the US consumer, and therefore the US economy, remains on solid footing. Income growth is outpacing inflationDespite elevated inflation, wage growth continues to outpace inflation growth, and that's ultimately a boon for consumers.

Persons: Sonu Varghese, there's, Varghese, that's, That's, " Varghese, here's Organizations: Carson, Carson Group

☆ Sell in May and go away? Think again
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —It’s “sell in May and go away” season. All three major indexes broke five-month winning streaks as hotter-than-expected inflation data stoked fears that interest rate cuts will come later than forecast. The central bank kept interest rates on hold at a 23-year high at its policy meeting. Persistent inflation has kept long-anticipated rate cuts on the backburner. Tesla “has let our entire charging org go,” William Navarro Jameson, strategic charging programs lead at Tesla, wrote on X.

Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, ”, Alex McGrath, Larry Tentarelli, Bryan Mena, it’s, Read, Tesla, Tesla “, ” William Navarro Jameson, Lane Chaplin, Hanna Ziady, Peter Valdes Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, The, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Wednesday, Traders, Blue, Carson Group, Research, Federal Reserve, Fed, Motors, Ford, Tesla Locations: New York

☆ Stock futures rise after Apple reports, traders look to April payrolls data: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 212 points, or 0.55%. S&P 500 futures rose nearly 0.3%, while Nasdaq 100 futures advanced about 0.5%. In extended trading, Apple advanced more than 6% after it announced a $110 billion share repurchase and a top -and bottom-line beat. The S&P 500 popped 0.91%, while the Dow gained 0.85%. The S&P 500 is off by 0.7% week to date, while the Nasdaq is down nearly 0.6%.

Persons: Cloudflare, Dow, Jerome Powell, Sonu Varghese, payrolls, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Biotech Amgen, Dow, Carson Group Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Wall Street needs a new rhyme for 'sell in May and go away'
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Wall Street needs a new rhyme for "sell in May and go away." NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Advertisement"Sell in May and go away" is an old Wall Street adage that highlights the fact that the stock market's worst six-month stretch of performance is historically May through October. LPL Financial's chief technical strategist Adam Turnquist highlighted that since 1950, average returns for the S&P 500 during this six-month period are actually positive, not negative, at +1.7%.

Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, —, they're, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Ryan Detrick, Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, Detrick Organizations: Service, Carson Group

☆ Stocks could have further to fall in May after this month’s market woes
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is down by more than 3% this month, though it has still registered a more than 6% advance for the year. But many investors worry stocks have further to go before finding a durable bottom. They say stocks look overvalued even after the recent pullback, and they cite troubling headwinds for equities. 'Sell in May and go away' May has a reputation as a historically weak month for stocks. Carson Group's Ryan Detrick noted that stocks have actually been higher in May during the last nine out of 10 years.

Persons: Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Jeff Hirsch, he's, It's, Hirsch, Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, we've Organizations: Investors, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, Treasury Bond ETF

☆ How to position for growth in earnings, inflation, and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow to position for growth in earnings, inflation, and the economySophie Lund-Yates, Senior Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, and Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, discuss mega-cap tech earnings, today's PCE report, and the direction of the markets.

Persons: Sophie Lund, Yates, Hargreaves Lansdown, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group, PCE

☆ Despite last week's market drop, there was improvement under the surface: Carson Group's Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDespite last week's market drop, there was improvement under the surface: Carson Group's DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: Carson Group's, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

☆ Small and mid caps will be the rotation out of tech, says Carson's Ryan Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall and mid caps will be the rotation out of tech, says Carson's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Carson Group chief market strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the markets and which sectors he sees being the next opportunity outside of tech.

Persons: Carson's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group

☆ The March inflation data lowered rate cut expectations. Here's why stocks could take that in stride
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Investors had lately been hoping the Fed might start easing back on policy starting in June, with three rate cuts penciled in for the year. But a robust labor market, as reflected in last week's March payrolls, and this latest consumer inflation data have pushed back that view. Markets now anticipate the first cut might come in September, with just two quarter-point reductions for the whole year. Even so, investors anticipate that markets may be able to take fewer rate cuts in stride so long as the Fed isn't actually forced to raise rates. Varghese still leans toward equities, expecting as many as three rate cuts this year, though he anticipates the first cut might not come until July now.

Persons: Federal Reserve doesn't, Stocks, isn't, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Sonu Varghese, Varghese, Powell, they're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Carson Group, CPI

☆ Where investors might hide out if inflation continues to reaccelerate
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

To guard against stubborn inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates, investors should focus on quality companies with high pricing power and adjust their duration risk in bonds, according to Wall Street strategists and portfolio managers. Pricing power Companies with high pricing power tend to outperform when inflation is elevated because they have the ability to defend their profit margins by passing along higher costs to their end market customers. "In equities, you should prefer companies that have pricing power, i.e. "When inflation is the predominant risk in markets, correlations between stocks and traditional bonds tend to be high. BlackRock's iShares strategy team recently argued that investors should take advantage of spikes in bond yields while they can and reinvest their cash.

Persons: Stocks, Brad Conger, Sonu Varghese, Jason Pride, Pride, Rick Rieder Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Street, Callaghan, Co, Big Tech, Carson Group, Securities, U.S ., Glenmede Trust Locations: Hirtle, BlackRock

☆ Stock futures rise as Wall Street readies for the start of the second quarter: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-31 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures rose slightly on Sunday evening as Wall Street prepared for the start of the second quarter. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 110 points, or 0.3%, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. The personal consumption expenditures price index, released Friday during the market closure for Good Friday, showed inflation rose 2.8% in February, which is in line with expectations. The inflation gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve also rose 0.3% from a month ago, the Commerce Department said. Ongoing bets on artificial intelligence stocks and tailwinds from Nvidia have continued powering the market higher in the new year after a strong 2023.

Persons: Giuseppe Sette, Ryan Detrick Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Commerce Department, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Carson Group

☆ Wall Street could be in for another good quarter after an exuberant start to the year, history shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.

Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S

☆ Three rate cuts still plausible due to strong productivity, says Carson Group's Ryan Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThree rate cuts still plausible due to strong productivity, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Carson Group chief market strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes the bull market is 'alive and well' and could keep charging higher, strength of the U.S. economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group Locations: U.S

☆ A couple less rate cuts in a strong economy isn't a bad thing, says Carson Group's Ryan Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA couple less rate cuts in a strong economy isn't a bad thing, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

☆ Something unusual is happening with the S&P 500, and it could mean more gains ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is about to do something unusual that has typically been followed by strong gains ahead. There have been only been 28 instances in which the S & P 500 has risen over the first two months of the year. The S & P 500 hit record highs in recent weeks, prompting questions about whether it can continue advancing or is due for a correction. With last week's advance, the S & P 500 officially finished 15 of the last 17 completed trading weeks in the green. The S & P 500 went on to finish that year up by a whopping 27.3%.

Persons: what's, Henry Allen, Allen, Madonna Organizations: Carson Group, Deutsche Bank, Bretton Locations: U.S

☆ Wouldn't be shocked if the market leaders start to give way to mid caps: Carson Group's Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWouldn't be shocked if the market leaders start to give way to mid caps: Carson Group's DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: Carson Group's, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 rose nearly 0.1% to 36,897.42, slipping back from earlier gains that took it briefly to a 34-year high. In prior months, such a report may have hurt the stock market because of concerns that it would mean a longer wait for cuts to interest rates from the Federal Reserve. The latest set of earnings reports from big U.S. companies also kept the stock market mixed overall. It gave a forecast for expected profit across 2024 that fell short of analysts’. In other trading, benchmark U.S. crude lost 6 cents to $76.16 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Australia's, ”, Ryan Detrick, Ralph Lauren Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, Investors, Bank of Japan, SoftBank Group Corp, Nissan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Carson Group, Federal Reserve, Walt Disney Co, Arm Holdings, PayPal, Global, New York Community Bancorp, Traders, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S . Locations: U.S, Asia, U.K

☆ Stock futures inch lower in overnight trading after S&P 500 touches historic 5,000 mark: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures edged lower Thursday evening after the S&P 500 crossed the historic 5,000 milestone for the first time during intraday trading. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were both about 0.1% lower. The large-cap benchmark reached a high of 5,000.40 during Thursday's regular trading before closing less than 3 points below the key 5,000 threshold. The S&P 500 first crossed 4,000 on April 1, 2021, so it took almost three years to add the last 1,000 points. A solid earnings season, easing inflation data and a resilient economy have powered the market rally into 2024, with the S&P 500 up 4.8% on the year.

Persons: Ryan Detrick, we've Organizations: New York Stock, Federal, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Carson Group Locations: New York

☆ Stock futures fall ahead of big tech earnings and Fed meeting decision: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-28 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Dow Jones and S&P both hit all time highs with the Dow Jones closing over 38,000 points for the first time ever as stocks continue to rise. U.S. stock futures fell across the board Sunday night as Wall Street looked toward several mega-cap tech earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 86 points, or 0.2%. This week marks the busiest week of the earnings season, with 19% of the S&P 500 reporting earnings. Traders in the fed funds futures market assigned an almost 97% probability the Fed will not cut rates at the upcoming meeting, according to the CME Group.

Persons: Dow Jones, Tesla, Sonu Varghese Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, Microsoft, Apple, Dow, Boeing, Merck, Federal, Traders, CME, Carson Group Locations: New York City, . U.S

☆ There are still a lot of economic indicators that say 'no recession': Carson Group's Ryan Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere are still a lot of economic indicators that say 'no recession': Carson Group's Ryan DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

☆ Market broadening is still a trend to watch, says Carson Group's Ryan Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket broadening is still a trend to watch, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickRyan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, discusses what history suggests could happen to the markets this year.

Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick Ryan Detrick Organizations: Carson Group

☆ Santa Claus rally period starts on Friday with an average gain of about 1% the next 7 trading days
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-22 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Friday is the official start of the Santa Claus rally. What the Santa Claus Rally is, and isn't Over the years, Jeff Hirsch of the Stock Trader's Almanac has repeatedly told me the key to understanding the Santa Claus rally is that it is not a trading strategy, it is an indicator. Fortunately, a negative Santa Claus rally period doesn't happen very often, only 12 times since 1969 (less than 25% of the time). In the years when the Santa Claus period is negative, the S & P is up an average of only 5.0%, versus an average gain of 9.1% in all years. You can see this very clearly in this chart: The common explanation is that: 1) markets are stronger with a sitting president because a sitting President can pull levers to help the economy, and 2) markets tend to be weaker with no sitting president because of increased uncertainty around economic outcomes.

Persons: Santa Claus, Yale Hirsch, Ryan Detrick, I've, Jeff Hirsch, Hirsch Organizations: Carson Group, Santa Locations: Santa

☆ McDonald's is in the midst of some big changes that show the changing tides in the world of fast food
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-11 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at some of the recent big changes at McDonald's, including the launch of a new restaurant concept. AdvertisementCold foam and oat milk are big business, as drink modifiers add up to roughly $1 billion in revenue for Starbucks. McDonald's app has grown over the years, with over 57 million active members, but it still leaves much to be desired. To be sure, 10 CosMc's is not even a drop in the bucket of McDonald's 40,000-plus restaurant empire.

Persons: —, I'm, Joe Ciolli, Iman Jalali, Nancy Luna, It's, McDonald's, Nancy, CosMc's, Jamie Dimon, Jerome Powell, Jose Luis Magana, Ryan Detrick, Niklas Halle'n, Rebecca Zisser, Jeff Bezos, OpenAI's Ilya Sutskever doesn't, Sam Altman's, hasn't, Elon Musk's, Ben Bergman, Adam Neumann's, Insider's Ben Bergman, Z, Donald Trump, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, Starbucks, Nancy, McDonalds, McDonald's, Reserve, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Capitol, Carson Group, Getty Images, San, Sutskever, Visual China, Getty, Fort, Trump Organization, Trump Organization . Golden Globe Locations: Chicago, , Illinois, Texas, Washington, AFP, San Francisco, Fort Lauderdale, New York City, San Diego, London, New York

☆ There's no recession coming and the Fed is likely done, says Carson Group's Ryan Detrick
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's no recession coming and the Fed is likely done, says Carson Group's Ryan DetrickHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC.

Persons: Carson Group's Ryan Detrick, Brian Sullivan, “ Organizations: CNBC

☆ Amid the gloom here and abroad, the U.S. stock market is holding up just fine
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

I dislike getting involved in debates on the stock market when I am enjoying an old-fashion rum punch at a beach bar in the Caribbean, but I couldn't resist interjecting. "We'll see how the coming slowdown plays out," he said, and turned back to his discussion. The coming slowdown? More may be coming: the last week of November tends to be the strongest week of the month, Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, has noted. As for earnings, which are the lifeblood for the stock market, forward earnings estimates for the next 12 months stand at record highs.

Persons: I's, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fundstrat's Thomas Lee, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Webush's Dan Ives, BMO's Brian Belski, Bespoke's Paul Hickey Organizations: EU, Hamas, Forbes, Bloomberg, Carson Group, LSE Locations: Caribbean, Antigua, British Commonwealth, London, England, American, China, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, U.S

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